{"schemaVersion":"1.0","schema":"https://ahmednadhir.com/api/signal-to-state/schema","canonical":"https://ahmednadhir.com/signal-to-state/records","count":4,"records":[{"id":"ZM-ELNINO-2026-001","slug":"zm-elnino-2026-001","title":"Zambia’s 2026/27 El Niño readiness plan: from seasonal forecast to local protection","shortTitle":"Zambia: El Niño readiness and anticipatory action","jurisdiction":"Zambia","evidenceRegion":"National; drier southern and central areas, with wetter northern areas identified in the forecast","opened":"14 October 2026","openedIso":"2026-10-14","reviewed":"14 October 2026","reviewedIso":"2026-10-14","revision":"1.0","state":"National plan finalised; finance and delivery trail open","territory":"zambia","hazard":"seasonal-drought-and-flood","systems":["disaster-preparedness","agriculture","food-security","water","health","education","energy","infrastructure","public-finance"],"verifiedActionCount":1,"activeSignal":"Zambia’s official 2026/27 seasonal forecast identifies a very strong El Niño, below-normal rainfall over most of the country, prolonged dry spells in the southern half from December to February, and localised flood risk in wetter northern areas. On 13 October the Government and UNICEF reported that the national El Niño Cluster Readiness, Preparedness and Anticipatory Action Plan had been finalised. The plan is a verified administrative action, not evidence that budgets, supplies or protection have reached districts and communities.","scopeNote":"This record concerns Zambia’s national 2026/27 readiness plan and the provincial forecast geography established by the Zambia Meteorological Department. It does not classify district conditions, attribute observed impacts, or infer implementation from the plan’s completion.","href":"/signal-to-state/zm-elnino-2026-001","dataHref":"/api/signal-to-state/records/zm-elnino-2026-001","pdfHref":"/records/signal-to-state-zm-elnino-2026-001-revision-1-0-2026-10-14.pdf","latestChange":"Zambia has moved from a seasonal warning to a finalised national readiness plan.","nextDecision":"Publish the plan’s triggers, responsibilities and finance, then show pre-positioning and local delivery before the risk windows close."},{"id":"NE-NIAMEY-2026-001","slug":"ne-niamey-2026-001","title":"Niamey’s Niger River alert: from a measured threshold to public protection","shortTitle":"Niger: Niamey crosses the river’s yellow-alert threshold","jurisdiction":"Niger","evidenceRegion":"Niamey region; Niger River station and riverbank precautions","opened":"8 October 2026","openedIso":"2026-10-08","reviewed":"8 October 2026","reviewedIso":"2026-10-08","revision":"1.0","state":"Yellow alert reported; operational evidence open","territory":"niger","hazard":"river-flood","systems":["water","disaster-preparedness","agriculture","livestock","public-finance"],"verifiedActionCount":1,"activeSignal":"The Niger River at Niamey was measured at 538 cm at 07:00 on 6 October 2026, above the 530 cm yellow-alert threshold. Niger’s public news agency reported the observation and the governor’s precautionary message on 7 October. The alert establishes an immediate duty to communicate risk and follow changing river levels. It does not establish flooding, overtopping of dikes or delivery of protection.","scopeNote":"This record concerns Niamey in Niger. It does not classify the rest of Niger or the wider basin, attribute the rise to climate change, or transfer the Ivorian Niger Basin programme’s finance into this response.","href":"/signal-to-state/ne-niamey-2026-001","dataHref":"/api/signal-to-state/records/ne-niamey-2026-001","pdfHref":"/records/signal-to-state-ne-niamey-2026-001-revision-1-0-2026-10-08.pdf","latestChange":"A measured river threshold has brought Niamey’s rescue command into view.","nextDecision":"Update river vigilance and establish whether the warning has reached local protection and readiness."},{"id":"CI-PIDACC-2026-001","slug":"ci-pidacc-2026-001","title":"Côte d’Ivoire’s Niger Basin climate programme: following additional finance into delivery","shortTitle":"Côte d’Ivoire · PIDACC/BN additional financing","jurisdiction":"Côte d’Ivoire","state":"Baya facility handed over; operating arrangements and finance attribution open","reviewed":"18 October 2026","reviewedIso":"2026-10-18","revision":"1.3","verifiedActionCount":5,"territory":"cote-divoire","hazard":"climate-resilience-and-landscape-restoration","systems":["water","forestry","agriculture","rural-livelihoods","public-finance"],"href":"/signal-to-state/ci-pidacc-2026-001","dataHref":"/api/signal-to-state/records/ci-pidacc-2026-001","pdfHref":"/records/signal-to-state-ci-pidacc-2026-001-revision-1-3-2026-10-18.pdf","latestChange":"A livestock facility at Baya has been handed to herders; its operating arrangements remain open.","nextDecision":"Establish Baya’s management and operating resources, and evidence the remaining dated deliveries."},{"id":"KE-OND-2026-001","slug":"ke-ond-2026-001","title":"Kenya’s October–December 2026 rains: the state of public preparedness","shortTitle":"Kenya · October–December 2026 short rains","jurisdiction":"Kenya","state":"Decision window open","reviewed":"13 October 2026","reviewedIso":"2026-10-13","revision":"1.16","territory":"kenya","hazard":"seasonal-rainfall","systems":["public-health","water","livestock","agriculture","infrastructure","disaster-preparedness","public-finance"],"href":"/signal-to-state/ke-ond-2026-001","dataHref":"/api/signal-to-state/records/ke-ond-2026-001","pdfHref":"/records/signal-to-state-ke-ond-2026-001-revision-1-16-2026-10-13.pdf","latestChange":"Kiambu moves from coordinated readiness to reported drainage execution at named sites.","nextDecision":"Publish Kiambu’s work authority and finance trail, and Kisii’s bid outcome after the stated deadline."}]}