Signal
Regional and national OND outlooks are dated and source-linked.
Preserved snapshot · revision 1.2
Kenya’s short rains: the forecast is only the first decision
This snapshot shows the assessment as it stood on 11 September 2026; later evidence and revisions are not included.
Abbreviations: Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD); October–December (OND); Kenya Meteorological Department (KMD); National Drought Management Authority (NDMA); Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF); and arid and semi-arid lands (ASALs).
- Record
- KE-OND-2026-001
- State
- Decision window open
- Opened
- 9 September 2026
- Reviewed
- 11 September 2026
Active signal
National and regional seasonal outlooks favour wetter-than-normal conditions across much of Kenya during October–December 2026, with both opportunity and flood-related risk.
Assessment stages
Findings published in revision 1.2
Trigger
No formal or operational trigger tied to this outlook has entered the record.
Authority
Regional, national and county functions are mapped; specific decision ownership remains to be evidenced.
Commitment
No forecast-linked appropriation, procurement or operational instruction has entered the record.
Execution
No downstream preparedness or service action has entered the record.
Outcome
The seasonal decision window precedes the outcome period.
Source register