Scientific evidence
Forecasts and research are included when their effects on a place or public institution can be shown.
Institutional and geographic context
Global systems
Wider international context
Global developments in science, finance, law, technology and geopolitics reshape public choices in particular places.
Institutional context
When global developments change public decisions
Here, climate and governance developments are followed into the laws, institutions and capabilities that shape decisions in particular places.
Areas of attention
How global science, standards, technology and finance affect public decisions
Capability, risk and power
The analysis traces how standards, technology, markets and finance shift capacity, risk and negotiating power.
Disciplined comparison
International comparisons are used to clarify a public question, not to transplant an institutional answer wholesale.
Current international development
A strengthened El Niño outlook shortens the preparation window
The stronger global El Niño signal shortens the planning window for the Greater Horn and Kenyan institutions.
Read: A strengthened El Niño outlook shortens the preparation window →Published work
Publications in this context
US$60m electronics programme includes nine African countries
Repair and recycling in Africa, cooperation against falsified medical products, livelihood support in Rwanda and Indonesia, and the cost of a water crisis in Moldova.
Djibouti, Ethiopia, Somalia, Botswana, Eswatini, Lesotho, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa, Rwanda, Indonesia and MoldovaOpen edition →World Bank seeks US$654m for Southeast Asian vaccine production
A Southeast Asian vaccine-finance ambition, health-budget support including five African countries, Indian farm-weather services, access to justice and an African social bond.
Southeast Asia, Côte d’Ivoire, Senegal, Sierra Leone, South Africa, Tanzania, Bangladesh, Laos, India and comparative justice systemsOpen edition →Four African governments set out plans to earn more from mining
Minerals plans in four African countries, Namibia’s city-mapping example, African clinical-research training and small grants for municipal finance.
Egypt, Malawi, Mauritania, Zambia, Namibia, Singapore, Europe and the CaucasusOpen edition →Public spending, personal data and the citizen’s voice
Five OECD publications issued from 12 to 15 October examine government reform, European prevention accounts, health-data reuse, AI privacy and participation in Australia. The analysis follows what enters a public decision, what is missing and how people can question the result.
The European Union, Australia, the Global South and wider digital systemsOpen edition →World Health Organization prepares global lead-prevention plan for 2027
New lead-prevention plans, Nepal’s earthquake-risk financing assessment, African trade-payment guarantees and support for women-led agribusiness.
Global health systems, Nepal, Africa and ZimbabweOpen edition →World Bank adds US$93m for Ebola response and preparedness
New World Bank financing supports the Ebola response and essential care. Biodiversity trade, Africa’s artificial-intelligence investment plans and South Asia’s seasonal outlook show how finance and production reach daily life.
Democratic Republic of the Congo, Africa, Kenya, South Asia and global health and trade systemsOpen edition →Food, electricity and the household cost of climate action
Studies published from 7 to 13 October examine wheat losses, wetland farming, electricity peaks, unequal household costs and flood-insurance access. The analysis connects those findings with Kenya’s food imports and water rules, and South Africa’s proposed power procurement.
Global evidence, Kenya, South Africa, the European Union and United States Tribal nationsOpen edition →International Monetary Fund forecasts 3.1% global growth
The International Monetary Fund forecasts 3.1% global growth in 2026 amid uneven gains and higher import costs. Housing disaster risk, tuberculosis research inclusion and Yaoundé’s sanitation fleet connect evidence and spending with daily life.
Africa, Cameroon and global economic, housing and health systemsOpen edition →New poverty index counts 1.2 billion people facing overlapping hardship
A new poverty update counts 1.2 billion people across 108 countries. Outbreak intelligence, Nepal’s flood and Kenyan trade finance show how evidence and resources reach households and businesses.
Africa, Nepal, Kenya and global health systemsOpen edition →Philippines secures €212.7m for island water services
Philippine island water financing leads four readings on resilient services. Heat-protection evidence, African primary-care coordination and Armenia’s artificial intelligence partnership connect public investment with daily life.
Philippines, Africa, Armenia and global heat-protection evidenceOpen edition →East Africa backs a shared approach to food safety
Seven East African delegations agree strategies for funding and promoting regional food safety. Ghana’s vaccine choices, regional electricity planning and Guinea’s mining suppliers reveal how public decisions reach families and businesses.
East Africa, Ghana, Guinea and the Global SouthOpen edition →World Health Organization’s route to mental health care closer to home
A new global guide connects mental health reform with continuing care and everyday life. Trade, credit assessment and ocean cooperation reveal how institutions organise the support that turns wider opportunities into public benefit.
World, Africa, Global South and Western Indian OceanOpen edition →AI in government: the stakeholders, roles, costs and safeguards
Five recent publications examine the choices behind public artificial intelligence (AI): which services deserve investment, who scrutinises adoption, how sensitive data travel and whose account of progress reaches the public record.
Kenya, Africa, the Global South and global systemsOpen edition →El Niño intensifies, with strong conditions expected into 2027
New international forecasts extend the horizon for preparedness. Nigeria’s state revenues, a global pregnancy-care roadmap and research on artificial intelligence show how institutions can turn more money, earlier knowledge and faster work into better services.
World, Nigeria, Greater Horn of Africa and Indian subcontinentOpen edition →New global guidance on childhood obesity care
The World Health Organization sets out continuing care for children and adolescents. Ghana’s delivery reforms, Guinea-Bissau’s climate proposals and Colombian procurement evidence show how institutions turn support into practical benefits.
World, Ghana, Guinea-Bissau and ColombiaOpen edition →Climate finance and preparedness: six developments across Africa
Restoration finance, rainfall preparedness and relief handovers reveal how the timing of public decisions determines what protection reaches people.
Great Green Wall countries, East African Community, Kenya, Ghana, southern Madagascar, Algeria and TunisiaOpen edition →Kenya confirms its first imported Ebola case
Kenya’s health response moves from preparedness to containment. A stronger African growth outlook, new Great Green Wall finance and South Asia’s practical AI applications bring fresh choices for public spending and services.
Kenya and regional health security, sub-Saharan Africa, Great Green Wall countries and South AsiaOpen edition →Heat and pregnancy: health workers report rising complications
A five-country survey brings maternity care into the climate debate. An African AI partnership, new teacher recruitment estimates and Asia-Pacific findings on drug resistance examine the resources behind dependable public services.
Five-country maternity evidence, African innovation and education, and Asia-Pacific health financing; implications for Kenya and the Global SouthOpen edition →Uganda’s measles campaign: the final push to reach missed children
Uganda’s vaccination campaign reaches its final scheduled day. Tanzania examines better-paying work, cooling grants connect climate finance with services, and Viet Nam prepares for longer working lives.
Uganda, Tanzania, four African cooling markets, Brazil and Viet Nam; implications for Kenya and the Global SouthOpen edition →Chad’s solar projects receive their first financing payment
Qair announces a first disbursement from a €37.9 million package for two solar plants near N’Djamena. Zambia trains emergency responders, Goa introduces targeted adult vaccination and an international workshop examines how artificial intelligence can serve learning.
Chad, Zambia, India and global education; implications for Kenya and the Global SouthOpen edition →United Nations food agency: global food prices rose 1.5% in September
The United Nations food agency reports higher global food prices; the World Health Organization publishes new death estimates; a US$500 million facility offers earlier supplier payments in Latin America; Cameroon authorises a loan for the Douala–Bangui trade route.
Africa, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Latin America and global systems; implications for KenyaOpen edition →Government technology: oversight, computing and integrity
Five recent publications examine how governments oversee artificial intelligence (AI), sustain computing services and enforce integrity, with lessons for Kenya, the Global South and the wider world.
Kenya, the Global South and global systemsOpen edition →AI opens a new door to development evidence
A new United Nations chatbot leads, alongside African credit assessments, contrasting seasonal rainfall forecasts and the financing of care in ageing societies.
Africa, Tanzania, Malawi, the Global South and global systemsOpen edition →Lamu and Kenya’s next economy: refining, trade and industrial growth
Lamu’s US$16 billion refinery development opens routes into fuel supply, manufacturing and regional trade. This special edition explains the customers, the Kenyan businesses around them and the economics of turning production into national income.
Kenya, East Africa and international marketsOpen edition →Climate commitments: forests, forecasts, food, cement and water
Five readings connect forest rights, weather observations, food recovery, lower-carbon cement and Zambezi resilience to public decisions.
Kenya, Africa and global systemsOpen edition →Kenya is tracing disaster spending. Can it show what protection follows?
Kenya’s disaster-spending trail leads three readings, alongside European funding routes into East African services and the African Court’s discussion of AI safeguards.
Kenya, Ethiopia and AfricaOpen edition →African leaders call for faster joint action on disease threats
African leaders’ New York call to strengthen existing alert channels leads, alongside Kenya’s draft payment rules, the UN sea-level declaration and WHO Africa’s DIGIT-HCM pilot in Chad.
Kenya, East Africa and coastal communities, with wider African implicationsOpen edition →A common currency by 2031. Is East Africa ready?
The EAC’s currency target leads, with new analysis of AI skills for African officials, South Africa’s proposed power-and-water reforms and Uganda’s influenza antiviral licence.
Kenya and East Africa, with wider African and international implicationsOpen edition →The money is pledged. The public test is delivery.
Five developments on Ebola financing, African weather hazards, Uganda’s debt, AI-shaped health bills and WHO’s clinical guidance.
Kenya, East Africa and Africa, with international evidenceOpen edition →Public services: access, costs and institutional responsibility
Ten readings follow the cost of reaching a public service, the people who help deliver it and the institutions responsible when the journey fails.
Kenya and the Global South, with international evidenceOpen edition →A warning is only the beginning.
Four developments on Ghana’s community health alerts, Kenya’s proposed payment-data rules, African adaptation finance and Botswana’s revised deficit.
Kenya and Africa, with international evidenceOpen edition →Climate warnings: who can turn a forecast into public action?
Six readings examine the institutions, assets and authority that turn climate information into public action across warnings, agriculture, electricity, cities, public finance and equity.
Kenya, Africa and the Global South, with international evidenceOpen edition →The risks are visible. Can institutions act in time?
Four developments on heat, AI safeguards, clinical-trial capacity and the gap between protected areas and effective conservation.
Kenya, East Africa and Africa, with international evidenceOpen edition →Seven of nine planetary boundaries breached. Pennsylvania records 792 measles cases. Texas has 470+ gigawatts in its data-centre and large-load queue.
The developments are global. Today’s briefing examines what they mean for public systems closer to home, and who must set the standard, allocate the cost and act.
Kenya, East Africa and Africa, with international evidenceOpen edition →Health AI can change after approval. Oversight must change with it.
Today’s edition examines four distinct developments: WHO guidance on health-AI ethics, typhoon preparedness, technology finance and Uganda’s gold-led export growth. Together, they show where public institutions must turn evidence into standards, safeguards and action.
Kenya, East Africa and Africa, with international evidenceOpen edition →Government accountability: risk, public trust and procurement
Five publications examine where public authority loses sight of risk, citizens’ institutional experience, democratic safeguards, development finance and the market power exercised through procurement.
Kenya and the Global South, with international evidenceOpen edition →Climate action: forecasts, lending rules and public delivery
Forecasts, lending policy, taxonomies, city-health indicators and regulation now turn on whether institutions can trace a climate claim through finance and delivery to a public result.
Kenya and Africa, with international evidenceOpen edition →Government dependence on suppliers, infrastructure and records
Six publications show where public institutions can lose practical control: dependence on suppliers and shared infrastructure, incomplete records, weak recovery arrangements, fiscal pressure and limits on citizens’ ability to challenge decisions.
Kenya and the Global South, with international evidenceOpen edition →El Niño in Kenya and the Greater Horn: preparedness before the rains
For Kenya and the Greater Horn, the question is whether earlier forecasts can trigger authorised, funded action before the short rains begin.
Kenya and Africa, with global climate evidenceOpen edition →Government AI: procurement, oversight and the right to challenge
Seven studies point to a common administrative duty: public institutions may buy technical capability, but they must retain the power to evaluate systems, halt their use and answer for the resulting decisions.
Kenya and the Global South, with international evidenceOpen edition →Further perspectives